Cultural trends tend to follow a certain pattern. A meme or a look or a movement will percolate through the culture, at first gradually, then infectiously fast, and then it will saturate the public consciousness so thoroughly that it will no longer satisfy those on the bleeding edge, who will initiate a radical shift and begin the cycle anew. And the interesting thing about trends, as opposed to fads, is that they reflect larger underlying cultural forces and tend to affect multiple domains. Thus, we witness transition times like the 1980s, when the US began to emerge from recession, and earth tones, bellbottoms, and back-to-the-landers gave way to neon, massive shoulderpads, McMansions, and big hair.

Right now, we’re going through another cultural shift, heralded in by the faltering climate, the faltering economy, and the profound reassessment of values that began in 2001 after the towers fell and the dotcom bubble burst. And as 2001-2007 saw the revival of green, from a fringe concern to a mainstream trend, 2008 appears to be witnessing the beginnings of an interesting shift around the color wheel — to blue. Which makes all of us at egg very happy, because ‘green’ was never a broad enough term to describe what we’re about, but we found ourselves using it anyhow, often when talking to people who have no idea what sustainability means (which is most people).

Whence blue? Two words: climate change. If green was about hugging trees and not paving paradise, blue is about the fact that the entire planetary balance is shifting, fast. When climate change finally begins to scare mainstream people in a Y2K problem or duck and cover kind of way, we can expect to see a lot more blue everywhere we look. We’re only witnessing the first glimmerings of the blue shift right now, but I predict that it will eventually come to subsume green in describing the cultural shift that’s been happening since the early naughties. Green was a step in the right direction, but it always had too much baggage. Blue is neutral, it’s soothing, it’s the color of clean water and air (ever-scarcer resources), and it also happens to be the color that people worldwide choose most frequently when asked to name a color. I think it’s got good staying power, as far as these things go. And don’t worry — the sensibilities underlying green won’t go away. They’ll just expand

Ready to jump on the blue bandwagon? Pantone has beaten you to it — they’ve declared Blue Iris the color of 2008, because it “satisfies the need for reassurance in a complex world, while adding a hint of mystery and excitement.” A complex world indeed. A google search reveals 9680 hits for “blue is the new green,” and I expect that this number will be growing exponentially. Gradually but gradually, all the common leitmotifs of “green” ads — leaves, seedlings, and of course, the ubiquitous color itself, will give way to a newer bluer look. And this blue period isn’t just about imagery; we’re already seeing it percolate into names and concepts: Mercedes has dubbed its newest eco-technology Bluetec, France has been using the Pavillon Blue as an eco-label to indicate eco-towns and ports, our client Gerdling/Edlen has named their latest eco-building Cyan, there’s a UK sustainability consulting firm named Level Blue, and the list goes on and on. Yeah, blue may have corporate associations, but a fresh new shade, especially complemented by some vibrant gold or orange hues, will be in no danger of looking workaday.

The thing that makes me happiest about this shift is that I won’t have to keep reading articles about what green is not. It seems that every article I read nowadays assures me that green is not about Birkenstocks or granola or Ralph Nader or frumpy hemp clothing or tree-huggers or patchouli or dubious hygeine practices. In short, people are still terrified of hippies and hardcore environmentalists, especially those people who are still stuck in the 80s conspicuous-consumption mentality. And yeah, the back-to-the-land movement is on its way back, and the hardcore hippie look will eventually undergo a full-on revival, as the current porn-plastic-botox-airbrushed-metrosexual aesthetic reaches a zenith and the utterly natural begins to look dramatically different and fresh. But at this moment, green still has plenty of limitations. And I welcome the influx of blue. It won’t happen overnight (hell, there are still plenty of people who covet McMansions), but it’ll happen.

As for me, I’ve already moved on.